Week 13 Accuracy Recap: 50.5% Overall
· 3 min read
weekly-recap
The Headline: Confidence Matters
When our AI is confident, it delivers. Here's accuracy by confidence threshold:
| Confidence Threshold | Correct | Total | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| All predictions | 46 | 91 | 50.5% |
| ≥ 65% confidence | 26 | 36 | 72.2% |
| ≥ 70% confidence | 22 | 29 | 75.9% |
| ≥ 75% confidence | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
The confidence score isn't just a number — it's a genuine signal of prediction quality.
Full Breakdown by League
| League | Correct | Total | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇹🇷 Süper Lig | 5 | 7 | 71.4% |
| 🟠 Europa League | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| ⭐ Champions League | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 🇵🇹 Primeira Liga | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 🇩🇪 Bundesliga | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 🇳🇱 Eredivisie | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 🇮🇹 Serie A | 6 | 11 | 54.5% |
| 🇪🇸 La Liga | 4 | 11 | 36.4% |
| 🇫🇷 Ligue 1 | 3 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 🏴 Premier League | 3 | 10 | 30.0% |
| Overall | 46 | 91 | 50.5% |
Best Calls ✓
- Fenerbahçe 4-1 Gaziantep — 87.00% confidence, correctly predicted home win.
- Barcelona 7-2 Newcastle United — 85.00% confidence, correctly predicted home win.
- Eyüpspor 0-1 Trabzonspor — 82.00% confidence, correctly predicted away win.
- Bayern Munich 4-1 Atalanta — 72.00% confidence, correctly predicted home win.
- Liverpool 4-0 Galatasaray — 72.00% confidence, correctly predicted home win.
Biggest Misses ✗
- Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 Atlético Madrid — Predicted away win at 72.00% confidence, but it was a home win.
- İstanbul Başakşehir 0-0 Antalyaspor — Predicted home win at 72.00% confidence, but it was a draw.
- Manchester City 1-2 Real Madrid — Predicted home win at 72.00% confidence, but it was a away win.
- Fiorentina 1-1 Inter Milan — Predicted away win at 70.00% confidence, but it was a draw.
- Rennes 0-0 Metz — Predicted home win at 70.00% confidence, but it was a draw.
Draw Analysis
- Matches ending in draws: 13
- Times we predicted a draw: 7
- Correct draw predictions: 0
Draws remain a challenge for the model — they're inherently harder to predict, but we're working on improving this.
Check out the upcoming predictions and browse past results to see the full picture.
All predictions are for entertainment purposes only.