Head-to-head accuracy comparison between our AI predictions and bet365 implied odds favorites. Based on 104 finished matches with both predictions and bet365 odds.
fpreds accuracy
51.9%
bet365 accuracy
50.0%
Edge
+1.9%vs bet365
Agreement rate
81.7%same pick
When both agree
54.1%
accuracy on 85 matches where fpreds and bet365 pick the same winner
When they disagree
8fpreds was right 6bet365 was right 5neither was right
19 disagreements total
Accuracy by League
LeagueGamesfpredsbet365Edge
🇪🇸La Liga
2050.0%55.0%-5.0%
🇩🇪Bundesliga
1850.0%44.4%+5.6%
🇫🇷Ligue 1
1747.1%41.2%+5.9%
🇹🇷Süper Lig
1361.5%61.5%0.0%
🏴Premier League
1030.0%30.0%0.0%
🇮🇹Serie A
1060.0%60.0%0.0%
Match-by-Match
Matchfpredsbet365AgreeConf
🇹🇷
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Antalyaspor
18 Mar0–0
H
H
✓
72%
🇹🇷
Eyüpspor vs Trabzonspor
18 Mar0–1
A
A
✓
82%
🇹🇷
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
18 Mar5–0
H
H
✓
62%
🇹🇷
Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep
17 Mar4–1
H
H
✓
87%
🇪🇸
Rayo Vallecano vs Levante
16 Mar1–1
H
H
✓
35%
🏴
Brentford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
16 Mar2–2
H
H
✓
35%
🇮🇹
Cremonese vs Fiorentina
16 Mar1–4
A
A
✓
62%
🇵🇹
FC Porto vs Moreirense
15 Mar3–0
H
H
✓
87%
🇪🇸
Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
15 Mar3–1
H
H
✓
35%
🇮🇹
Lazio vs AC Milan
15 Mar1–0
A
A
✓
72%
🇫🇷
Rennes vs Lille
15 Mar1–2
A
H
≠
45%
🇩🇪
Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig
15 Mar1–0
A
H
≠
45%
🇵🇹
Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora
15 Mar2–1
D
H
≠
62%
🇪🇸
Real Betis vs Celta Vigo
15 Mar1–1
H
H
✓
35%
🇹🇷
Gençlerbirliği vs Beşiktaş
15 Mar0–2
A
A
✓
78%
🇹🇷
Samsunspor vs Kayserispor
15 Mar2–1
H
H
✓
78%
🇮🇹
Como vs Roma
15 Mar2–1
A
H
≠
58%
🇩🇪
Freiburg vs Union Berlin
15 Mar0–1
H
H
✓
62%
🏴
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur
15 Mar1–1
H
H
✓
78%
🇫🇷
Metz vs Toulouse
15 Mar0–0
D
A
≠
25%
🇫🇷
Le Havre vs Lyon
15 Mar0–0
D
A
≠
55%
🇳🇱
Go Ahead Eagles vs NAC Breda
15 Mar6–0
H
H
✓
62%
🇵🇹
AVS vs Santa Clara
15 Mar0–1
A
A
✓
68%
🇵🇹
Nacional de Madeira vs Estoril Praia
15 Mar0–1
A
H
≠
62%
🇪🇸
Barcelona vs Sevilla
15 Mar5–2
H
H
✓
72%
🇩🇪
Werder Bremen vs Mainz
15 Mar0–2
H
H
✓
35%
🇮🇹
Sassuolo vs Bologna
15 Mar0–1
H
H
✓
52%
🇫🇷
Strasbourg vs Paris FC
15 Mar0–0
H
H
✓
35%
🇮🇹
Pisa vs Cagliari
15 Mar0–1
A
H
≠
72%
🏴
Nottingham Forest vs Fulham
15 Mar0–0
A
H
≠
45%
Methodology: bet365 "predictions" are derived from their decimal odds — we convert odds to implied probabilities (removing the overround) and pick the outcome with the highest implied probability as bet365's "favorite." This is a standard comparison used across the industry. fpreds is not affiliated with bet365. This comparison is for informational and entertainment purposes only.