FC Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen

Heidenheim (18th, 14pts) drew 3-3 with Leverkusen despite being heavy underdogs. Classic relegation desperation factor — Heidenheim had nothing to lose and threw everything forward at home. Leverkusen's inconsistent form (DDWDL) signaled vulnerability, and their defense has been leaking goals in away matches. The model underweighted home desperation and overweighted the table gap. Lesson: relegation-threatened teams at home in the Bundesliga can produce shock results, especially against top-6 sides in patchy form.