Rennes vs Metz

Rennes drew 0-0 at home vs last-place Metz despite Rennes being on a WWWW streak and Metz on LLLLL. This is a textbook relegation-battler parking the bus scenario. Metz, knowing any point is gold at 13pts, would have set up ultra-defensively. Rennes, despite good form, couldnt break down a team with nothing to lose defensively. The prediction even noted the draw adjustment for relegation visitors but still called HOME at 70% confidence. Need to weight the relegation-desperation-draw factor more heavily, especially when the gap is this extreme (43 vs 13 pts).